Dave Pollard's environmental philosophy, creative works, business papers and essays.
In search of a better way to live and make a living, and a better understanding of how the world really works.
![]() A great example of how to use a graphic to convey a ton of information. It shows all the sources and uses of energy consumed by the US, and how much of it is lost, in a single picture. It's from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and it's slide 31 of 50 in this PowerPoint deck by Marty Sereno of UCSD on Peak Oil. Here are six important discoveries I've made as a result of fifteen years' work in so-called 'Knowledge Management':
What does have value, but only for awhile, are these five types of content:
How much of the work of information professionals and 'knowledge managers' is actually focused on these five types of information? In my experience, much less than half. And much of that work is spent maintaining these collections way past their shelf life, to the point that they're no longer valuable, and start to add to the clutter that makes it harder to find the good stuff, and may actually be so obsolete that they're dangerous. Most bloggers (and those in other media like radio, TV and print) have figured this out. It's not just that we have short attention spans that causes us to forget what was printed or broadcast last week -- we lose the context, so if it's important, we need to be re-briefed anew anyway. This has been a hard lesson for me. I keep a table of contents of my past blog posts by subject (though I confess I'm slow to update it). That's because I naively think people (beyond just students working on assignments) will actually be inclined to go back and re-read what I wrote a month or a year ago about a subject. For the same reason, I hotlink back to earlier articles, in the hope that this is a 'shorthand' way of providing readers with context when I write about a relatively complex subject. Even though when I read others' blogs I almost never click back or read their tables of contents. Silly me. My review of the hits on my pages suggests that 95% of the page-reads on my blog are articles less than a week old, and that almost no one clicks the links to my older posts (except the aforementioned students working on assignments). Readers are telling me: Don't ask me to re-read an old article, tell me, here and now, the gist of that earlier article and why it's important, and then get on with the new stuff. So why do I still maintain the table of contents and continue to link back to earlier articles? Because it helps me to organize my own thoughts. This blog is an extension of my personal memory. It's where I think out loud about what's important to me. Even my Signature Essays list is a note-to-myself of my best writing, to use when thinking about future writing. So I get it, dear readers: If my blog blew up tomorrow and the archives were gone, all you care is whether I have my own back-up copy for my own use, so that I can keep writing tomorrow. If you're a blogger and you think your archives are valuable to anyone but yourself, if you think anyone, even your most faithful reader, cares about what you wrote more than a week ago, think again. Your archives are for your use, not theirs. In a way this is a relief. It means I need not feel guilty about my table of contents being nine months out of date, except for the fact it is hard for me to research what I may have written on a subject more than a week and less than nine months ago. It means I need not agonize about migrating my blog from the obsolete Radio Userland platform to something newer -- I need only migrate my most recent one or two posts on each of the subjects on my table of contents, plus perhaps my Signature Essays, to the new blog platform, and no one will care about the lost threads to the rest (though it might be worth paying to keep the old posts on Radio Userland just to preserve my Google Rank). All the rest of my writings and their table of contents could be kept on a flash drive for my personal reference only. Do any other bloggers find this discovery -- that no one cares what you wrote last week -- as sobering as I do? When you click on a Google link and find yourself on on 'old' 2005 or 2003 blog post, do you read it or do you automatically back-arrow to find something more current? This is important, because the same thing applies to 95-99% of what organizations are trying to keep in their content repositories, internal and external websites -- what they hopefully call 'organizational memory' -- no one values it and no one cares. The consolation in all this resonates with my most important learning from 35 years in business: The
value you bring to an organization is not what you do, what processes
and infrastructure and other 'organizational changes' you implement, or
even what decisions you make. Those things are all transient; they are
gone before you know it. The only sustainable value you bring to an organization is what you show and teach and inspire in other people you work with.
Because those things are infectious, so that even when you've gone,
even when the people you knew there have gone, that learning and that
important information and those mind-changing ideas that you
precipitated will go on and on, passed virally from one person to
another. Those viruses are what makes the organizational culture what it is. That is no small thing. That's why the so-called 'leaders' are no more valuable in any organization than anyone else. We each have the same number of hours to infect others with our knowledge, our passion, our ideas and inspirations. Viruses only spread one-to-one. You can't do this 'top-down'. Nothing of value can be 'cascaded downwards', no matter what they might tell you in MBA school. It's also why businesses established by owner-managers, once the owner-manager leaves, are only worth something if they have been non-hierarchical -- if the owner-manager has generously and continuously shared ideas, information and authority to the point the employees left behind have co-created and internalized the culture. That doesn't just apply to business. The only sustainable value you bring to any social group of which you are a member is what you show and teach and inspire in others in that group. That's the value you bring when you write your heart out on your blog. That's the value you bring when you raise your children, when you spend time in the communities that matter to you, when you stay up all night talking with someone about the things you both care about. You may never be credited as the originator of a virus. It is enough to know that it lives, on and on, in the minds and hearts and beliefs and actions of thousands or millions of people who have passed it on, mutating and evolving, until it does produce a collective change. It is the only way real change occurs. That is what culture is, and why it is so hard to change it. We all change it, in ways we can only imagine. Your idea could be the flap of the butterfly's wing that causes a social tsunami on the other side of the world. That should be enough. Enough to keep you working, blogging, creating, thinking, sharing, conversing, doing what you can to make the world a better place. Categories: Knowledge Management, Blogs & Social Networking |
![]() Me in Second Life. (Everyone here is beautiful) What I'm Thinking of Writing (and Podcasting) About Soon: Coping With the Strategy Paradox: I met recently with Michael Raynor, who wrote The Strategy Paradox. He's now looking at what else we can do to deal with this paradox, and he poked some holes in my argument that what we need is resilience, not planning. Does Our Formal Education System Preclude Natural Enterprise and Natural Community?: There is some strong evidence that the education system destroys our creativity, and our natural propensity and ability to collaborate, self-organize and self-manage. Can we hope to have Natural Enterprise and Natural (Intentional) Community unless we first re-form, or blow up, the education system? Is the kibbutz a better environment for learning, or does it merely invoke and reinforce social tyranny, conventional wisdom, short-term, uncreative thinking and industrial-economy action without allowing time for research, imagination and reflection? What Do We Do With Old Social Network Content?: When MySpace was succeeded by FaceBook, what happened to all the old MySpace stuff? Perhaps old blog posts are like old newspapers, of no use to anyone except historians. If our posts are essentially 'forgotten' once they slide off the home page into the archives, perhaps we should just delete them and, if they become important again, resurrect and update them. This 'loss' of thousands of terabytes of 'information' into forgotten archives may be just a reflection of its conversational, transient nature, rather than a catastrophe of unprecedented loss of collective memory. A Coming Class/Generational War?: Exploding economic disparity, and the widening wealth and opportunity gap between the old and the young, may be sowing the seeds for a class war between the old & wealthy, and the young & poor, that could transcend geographic borders. Second Life as a Platform for Videoconferencing and Distance Learning: I'm part of an upcoming forum on the future of education -- the forum is being held in the virtual reality environment Second Life. After just an hour there, I can already appreciate why it has such enthusiasts, and how it might revolutionize videoconferencing and distance learning. Why We Handle Risks So Badly: In our failure to prepare for and mitigate risk, as decision-makers, citizens and investors, we play out our essential human nature. Why We Need a Public Persona: The journey to know yourself is the first step towards understanding how the world works and becoming truly yourself, which is necessary before you can make the world a little better. As de Mello said, this journey is mostly about getting rid of the everybody-else stuff that has become attached to us as part of our social conditioning, and getting rid of this stuff is perhaps what ee cummings meant when he said the hardest thing is to be nobody-but-yourself when the world is relentlessly trying to make you everybody-else. From birth, we pick up all this everybody-else stuff that clings to us and changes us, muddies us. We are rewarded by society for doing so. I find the 'figments of reality' thesis helpful in this hard work -- realizing that our minds are nothing more than problem-detection systems evolved by the organs of our bodies for their purposes, not 'ours'. That 'we' are, each 'one' of us, a collective, a complicity. What makes it so hard is that becoming nobody-but-yourself opens you up to accusations of being anti-social, weird, self-preoccupied, arrogant etc. So we end up, I think, having to adopt a public persona that is, to some extent, not genuine, not 'us' at all. That's hard. How can we make this public persona as thin and transparent as possible? Why are Gas Prices So Low?: Delayed until I have some clue as to what the answer might be. This has got me stumped. Vignette #6 Blog-Hosted Conversation #2: This week I'll be publishing my narrated, edited interview of Jon Husband, which I recorded earlier this week, on hierarchy, community and education, and recording a third interview. Possible Open Thread Question: What would happen if we just abolished the education system, and in its place allowed communities to create their own sets of learning objectives, programs and assignments, which would be done hands-on, collaboratively with others of the student's choice, mostly involving research and practice out in the community, and completion of which (at the student's own pace, their own way, self-managed) would entitle them to claim certain credentials, apprenticeship-style? |
![]() Image from An Inconvenient Truth: Blue curve is average temperature on Earth for the last 650,000 years, red is amount of CO2 in the atmosphere for the same time period. Lower yellow dot is today's CO2 levels. Top yellow dot is where it will be in 2030 (median projection). That's Gore on a forklift beside it. Difference between top and bottom of the blue curve is half-a-mile-thick ice at the bottom (ice age) and today's climate at the top. Videos of the Week: Charles Hall Explains Peak Oil in Ninety Minutes: A thorough explanation of the concept, with some great graphics in the accompanying slides. James Surowiecki on the Future of the Organization: A rambling half-hour video of the Wisdom of Crowds author on theory X (we work only because we must) and theory Y (we work for a creative outlet and self-actualization as well), bottom-up self-managed communities (open source etc.), the failure of top-down motivation, Goldcorp's Wisdom of Crowds online exploration of where to mine for new gold, how humans and primates behave altruistically and respond to status symbols, and why experts and leaders are over-rated. Thanks to my colleague Gordon Vala-Webb for this link and the one that follows. Malcolm Gladwell on Collaborative Genius: A half-hour video by the Tipping Point guy from small-town Ontario who argues that individual genius is not as valuable as that resulting from collaborative effort. Modern complex problems, he says, requires persistance rather than genius, and assessment of large numbers of diverse ideas rather than a few great ideas. News of the Week: Canada Knuckles Under to US Blacklist and Refuses Entry to US Protesters: The Bush regime has blacklisted protesters at the last International Women's Day demonstrators arrested for passive civil disobedience, and the Harper regime in Canada is using this US blacklist to prevent liberals from entering Canada. No coverage on this in the mainstream Canadian media. Plexus Tackles the Complex Problem of MRSA: The Plexus Conplexity Institute is working on complex solutions to the challenge of MRSA, one of the growing epidemic of antibacterial-resistant strains of germs plaguing hospitals and communities. The major challenges are complacency and the alarming lack of compliance with hygiene practices by hospital workers, especially doctors. The approach to coping with these perplexing challenges is to engage the wisdom of crowds in the hospitals themselves (some of the best ideas come from housekeeping staff and patients) and use the complexity principal called 'positive deviance' (the principle that some people have much better approaches and practices than others doing the identical work). Notice how similar this is to Gladwell's point above? Thanks to education reform guru Barbara Dieu for the link. Co-op America Finds the Best Green Businesses are All Small: A fascinating survey of America's greenest businesses from the Responsible Shopper Boycott List guys suggests that to be really green you have to be small and community-based. This should not be surprising, but it is important. Why is the Dow So High?: HTWW wonders why, given the credit crisis, the collapse of the US dollar, and $80/barrel oil, the Dow is at record highs, especially since the price of US homes and volume of home sales are still plummeting. 9/11 and the Anti-Feminist Backlash: A great Salon book review (of Susan Faludi's The Terror Dream) by Rebecca Traister wonders if 9/11 has given the anti-feminist movement incredible power and impetus to reverse decades of gains, and how our reaction against Arabs in the wake of 9/11 echoes our reaction against First Nations people during the first decades of our invasion of the Americas. Fascinating ideas here. Why is Google Stock so High: Dave Snowden wonders why Google stock is still so high when no one lloks at the ads on their pages. Sy Hersh Explains Why Cheney/Bush Will Attack Iran: Bad news all around, and Hersh is usually right. Thought for the Week: It's World Animal Week. Ten ways to make the world better for animals (from WSPA via Common Dreams):
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For
decades, the United Nations and the US Census Bureau have been accusing
those who have called for strong measures to curb global population
growth scare-mongers and neo-Malthusians. Restricting population growth
is politically very unpopular. It flies in the face of the world's
dominant and most irresponsible religions. It conjures up fears of
eugenics and Big Brother restrictions on individual freedoms. China's
"one-child" policy is notorious for the corruptness and arbitrariness
of its application. And most couples, come hell or high water, want
between two and five children, with the average around 2.5.So it's not surprising that population forecasters are pressured to repeat the popular and reassuring mantra that global population growth is slowing down, that soon population will start to decrease, and that in many nations the problem will be too few babies, not too many. You can, of course, develop statistics to support just about any prediction you want to make, including that one. The problem is that the basis for this prediction is the one that has got us into so many problems before -- that what has occurred in the past will continue to happen in the future, only more so. Unfortunately, it never happens that way. That's why the predictors always give themselves wiggle room by predicting a 'low estimate' and a 'high estimate' along with the 'best estimate'. Here's what the UN and USCB say these will be for this century (population in 2000 was 6.1 billion, today we're at 6.7 billion, up 0.9 billion in the past decade): 2050: Low 8.0 billion, Median 9.5 billion, High 11.0 billion 2100: Low 7.0 billion, Median 10.0 billion, High 14.0 billion These median forecasts assume that struggling nations' fertility rates will continue to rapidly converge on the affluent country fertility rates of 1.85 children per couple (i.e. below replacement level). There is no basis given for this forecast -- it is simply a projection of current trends. The projection ignores several facts:
It's another 'inconvenient truth' for us to consider. Not that we have much of an appetite for considering such truths. Easier to bury our head in the (expanding areas of) sand and hope for magical solutions. Sources: Governments of Canada, US and UK -- vital statistics departments. UN and US Census Bureau population forecasts, 2006 revisions. Category: Overpopulation, the Crash Catalyst P.S.: KM World &
Intranets 2007, November 5-8, San
Jose California, McEnery Convention Center. I'll be there, presenting on the first three days. If
you're going to be there too, drop me a line. |
Last spring I wrote about Bill Buxton:Many
years ago, when e-mail and Internet access were just becoming the norm
in business, I met a guy named Bill Buxton, who was then with Alias
Research. His passion was trying to make virtual 'presence' imitate, as
much as possible, physical 'presence', to get the technology to adapt
to our preferred information behaviours, instead of the other way
around. Bill's mantra was: Ultimately,
we are deluding ourselves if we think that the products that we design
are the "things" that we sell, rather than the individual, social and
cultural experience that they engender, and the value and impact that
they have. Design that ignores this is not worthy of the name. To
that end, he had computer screens around a circular table in his
office, each showing the head and shoulders, and the computer desktop,
of one his meeting participants, so that virtual meetings were as
analogous as possible to 'real' meetings. He had another screen above
his office door with a picture of a door on it, that he could virtually
'open' or 'close' to signify whether he was, or was not, available for
impromptu e-consultations and e-conversations. It was a little hokey, but Bill was (and still is, in his new work) on the right track. Since then, Bill has moved forward with his work on the Customer Experience and written a book called Sketching User Experiences. The concept of 'sketching' is summarized in the graphic above. It is a "low-fidelity representation" of the customer experience that is detailed enough to provide context for how the customer lives/works/uses your product, but short enough that it doesn't consume inordinate time to do so. The video (1:26:00 in length) explaining this in detail is here. He's very entertaining, though the technical quality of the video is not great, and the first half is more valuable than the last half, IMO. The key points he makes in the video and book are:
The
ceramics teacher announced on opening day that he was dividing the
class into two groups. All those on the left side of the studio, he
said, would be graded solely on the quantity of work they produced, all
those on the right solely on its quality. His procedure was simple: on
the final day of class he would bring in his bathroom scales and weigh
the work of the "quantity" group: fifty pound of pots rated an "A",
forty pounds a "B", and so on. Those being graded on "quality",
however, needed to produce only one pot -albeit a perfect one - to get
an "A". Well, came grading time and a curious fact emerged: the works
of highest quality were all produced by the group being graded for
quantity. It seems that while the "quantity" group was busily churning
out piles of work - and learning from their mistakes - the "quality"
group had sat theorizing about perfection, and in the end had little
more to show for their efforts than grandiose theories and a pile of
dead clay.
I think you can. And I think that's where the idea of customer anthropology comes in. This anthropology is one of the techniques you use to research unmet customer needs. The transcription of the customer observations and interviews is a kind of "sketch" of your customers, and the needs that your enterprise might fill. But this isn't what Buxton is getting at when he talks about sketching -- he's referring to the process of ideation to address those needs. In my new job, we're starting to use customer anthropology to get a deeper understanding of our customers. We've identified about 15 distinct customer 'segments' with clearly different needs for the five types of research 'products' we offer:
So I'm going to try to develop "sketches" of possible new designs for our five types of products, that draw on understanding how the current design has evolved, and on the results of our customer anthropology into what our customers want and need that they are not currently getting. I'd love to get Bill Buxton, a fellow Torontonian, involved in the process, to see how his technique translates to non-technology product design. I suspect I may have to 'hire' a sketch artist, though I'm certainly going to scour our organization to see if we have some hidden talent in this area. If this is successful, it could become the standard 'front end' to our ideation and innovation process -- the means by which we respond in a consistent, disciplined and creative way to identified unmet customer needs and develop new and better products. What do you think? Is this a process that might work in your industry? Is there a sketch artist in your future? Category: The Innovation Process |